The Reds put up 8 runs last night looking like they have bounced out of their offensive slump. They are 4th in BB's and should get themselves in some good counts against Tim Lincecum who has struggled in his career against the Reds. Lincecum continues to struggle on the road posting a 5.23 ERA this year and on 5 days rest has a 4.65 ERA. The Giants are now 7-20 in their last 27 games as a road dog. Meanwhile the Reds are 40-14 in Bailey's last 54 vs. a losing team.
Bailey has been dominant on 5 days rest and he'll have his first start on back to back 5 days of rest where he posts a 2.57 ERA and has 3 gem performances. It's clearly when he's most dominant and I expect him to have little trouble with a Giants line up that has scored just 2.34 runs per 9 vs. RHP over their last 10 games as Sandoval has gone 1-21 over his last 7 games. Bailey had 2 starts vs. the Giants last year and posted a 2.02 ERA a WHIP under 1 while striking out 16 batters and only walking 3. Cincinatti pitchers have posted a 3.30 ERA during night games this season and Bailey has a 2.89 while the Reds have gone 28-20 overall. The Giants are just 22-28 during night games and are 25th in ERA.
Yankees finally busted out of their offensive slump and I think they will have another chance to do so as they have plenty of confidence going into tonight's game. Samuel Deduno is getting too much credit thus far and now he's making a start on 4 days rest after 3 straight on 5 days rest which could mean trouble. He has not been able to go deep in games on 4 days rest and that will leave things to the Twins bullpen which has struggled big time lately. Meanwhile the Yankees bullpen posts a 1.35 ERA over their last 10 and 2.83 on the road this year. Phil Hughes has been far more dominant on the road and has a 2.48 ERA in 5 career starts against the Twins where the Yankees are 4-1.
