Blue Jays have been inconsistent all year long and after a great series with a division rival I expect them to burry their heads in teh sand. Mark Buehlre has been extremely lucky over the last month and I think it's finally going to come back to hurt him. He flirts with disaster in almost all of his starts, but an 89% strand rate has helped him specifically over the last month. The Royals are hot right now scoring 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games and have hit lefties extremely well on the road scoring 4.62 runs per 9. Billy Butler leads the Royals with a 20-57 mark vs. Buehlre. The Royals are also in a playoff hunt where as the Jays are not and could care less about this game on a Friday night.
On the flip side Ervin Santana has been great posting a 3.27 ERA and a 2.85 at night. He's had 5 of 6 quality starts on the road when he's on 4 days rest and 9 out of his last 10 starts vs. the Jays have been quality where he posts a 2.76 ERA. Two of his last 4 starts at Toronto were complete games. You also have to remember the bullpen in this match up where the Royals have a distinct advantage 2.79 ERA on the road compared to the Jays 4.08 at home while the Royals also post a 1.09 in their last 10games overall.
Brewers and Angels not very interesting unless you are betting and we are. The Angels were jacked a bit playing the Rays but now they travel to Milwaukee to get some beers and they start Jerred Weaver who is one of the more over valued pitchers in baseball. Weaver has a 5.08 ERA in his last 5 starts, but over the course of his career he's always been pretty lucky with BABIP and strand rate and this season has been no different. With his speed down to 86 mph on average it's easier for hitters to locate and hit the ball hard. Wily Peralta on the other hand is averaging 94.7 mph and the Angels have never seen him and should have a harder time.
