This is great value for the Astros at home where they are scoring 4.63 runs per 9 vs. LHP (facing Saunders today) who they have beat up this season at home. Saunders has a 2.50 WHIP and an ERA over 9 in his two starts in Houston this year. He also has a 7.16 ERA this August and is on just 4 days rest.

Dallas Keuchel ont he other hand is on 5 days rest where he's pitched great against good competition. He faces a Mariners team that is 29th in OPS vs. LHP and is scoring 1.56 runs per 9 less vs LHP on the road than the Astros are at home VS. LHP. He also has better overall true value statistics when compared with Joe Saunders as he has a 3.76 xFIP compared with Saunders 4.43. Saunders just 4.86 K/9 is pretty bad and if you are not going to get guys out you better have good control, but he's walking more than 3 guys per 9 innings. This is one of the few times you'll find the Astros as favorites and they are 11-2 in their last 13