The Red Sox took games against the Tigers to get a lead on the AL home field advantage, but now they have a big series with the Yankees who are desperate and playing well of late winning 15 of their last 18 home games. Meanwhile the Red Sox are just 7-15 in their last 22 on the road against home teams with a winning % greater than .600. Jake Peavy is on the mound for the Sox and he's only on 4 days rest where he has a 5.04 ERA this year and he's also on the road where he has an ERA over 5 this year. This is not a great ballpark for Peavy to pitch in as he's an extreme fly ball pitcher similar to Phil Hughes, but with more control over his pitches. Peavy's only start here he gave up 3 HR and 5 guys in the projected line up have HR's against him.

Ivan Nova on the other hand continues to pitch and excel at Yankee Stadium posting a 2.49 ERA here and has great numbers this year on 4 days rest. He's really been the savior of this team down the stretch and I expect it to continue against the Red Sox tonight who had struggled to score runs in back to back games before putting up 20 last night. I think the odds are exaggerated because of the 20 runs and the Yankees should get a much needed win.

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