The Colts were the biggest play for the public in week one and they barely hung on. Once again the public is backing them with this short line of under a field goal in most places at a rate of 62%. However, I see a lot of holes on the Colts team this year. Yes they are strong at WR and QB, but they are weak against the run and lack any sort of a pass rush and it will hurt them this week. Miami won on the road last week without a running game and they should only improve this week. The Colts struggled to protect Andrew Luck against the Raiders and the Dolphins have arguably the best pass rush in the league and Luck was hurried 8 times and sacked 4 times a week ago.
The Dolphins want revenge from last years 23-20 loss as they had the game until late. The Dolphins are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and the dog is 8-2 ATS int he last 10 meetings. I think the Colts will be playing in a close game just as always, but the Dolphins defense is just too much in this one especially considering they played better on the road all last year and the Colts still have a weakness on the offensive line and do not have any sort of a running game. Meanwhile the Dolphins are more balanced on offense and should be able to win this game or at least play with the lead.
