Bengals -6 (3.3* Showdown Play)
If you have any of my recent picks or look at my archived analysis on the webstie you'll find that I talk about line value quite a bit and what you can get for an over reaction on a line. This could be one of the most over reactions as the Steelers were a TD + favorite last week and lost to the Titans at home and now they go on the road and they are a TD under dog.
In my opinion week 1 was the over reaction. Vegas knew they could get a ton of money come in on a popular team like the Steelers and they were over priced which is why I quickly took the Titans in week 1. I think the Steelers are this bad right now. They are already having injury issues losing Stephens Howling and Markice Pouncey. Pouncey was a huge loss and will impact an already struggling offense without Heath Miller or a running back.
The Bengals on the other hand were able to move the ball without a problem in a tough road environment. They also held Matt Forte in check 19 carreis 50 yards. The Steelers have nobody close to that caliber and the Bengals will be at home where they should get a better push off the line of scrimmage. The Bengals in the end blew an 11 point lead and shot themselves in the foot with penalties and turnovers. They could have won the game by double digits and if they did we would probably be looking at a 9.5 point spread so I actually think we are getting value here. The Steelers have regressed that much and Big Ben and his offensive coordinator Todd Haley do not get a long at all which is never a good sign for a football team.
