Okay, the Giants have value at +290 in my opinion not just because it's nearly 3 to 1 odds, but because the Bears have not impressed me at all this season and the Giants are not as bad as they've shown despite what most experts are saying. I view this game as a huge opportunity for the G-men to completely turn their season around which is something they are no strangers to. I think there is more pressure on the Bears who are banged up inside on the defensive line and start two rookies along their offensive line.
I like the over as both of these defenses have been awful on third down as the Bears rank 20th and have been worse at home and the Giants rank 31st. Both of these teams are tops in the league in passing play % with the Bears throwing the ball on 62% of their plays to the Giants 72% so the over looks promising too. Both these QB's and offenses are able to put up big points when they have time to throw. The Giants have put up 31, 23, and 21 points against pass rush units ranked 28th, 18th, and 23rd, but only 7 points combined against #2 and #6. Well it just so happens despite the pedigree of the Bears defense they are only ranked 30th in pass rush and have been worse at home with a 2.97% sack %. The Giants are 32nd at 2.45% overall and when we look at Jay Cutler he has been amazing against those teams that can't pass rush putting up 32, 40, and 31 and 24 against teams ranked 24th, 29th, 31st, and 27th in sack%. Against the Saints who are ranked 8th he only put up 18 points. Giants have had literally no pass rush and that figures to be good for the Bears offense. I can see the Giants winning this game because they have not given up. They are only 2 games out of their division so expect Eli to rebound and avoid the turnovers while both offenses trade scores.
