Normally I like to fade teams at this point in the year when they are bowl eligible and not fighting for a better bowl game like Navy is. Especially when they are facing a team that's desperate to get bowl eligible like San Jose State is at 5-5. However, Navy has some real revenge in this spot after being shutout a year ago. This Navy team has played really well of late and that will continue to build into this game. San Jose State has some players, but their defense is not even close to what it was last year. They just got done losing to Nevada on the road where they were a TD favorite and they lost by a lot and allowed 300+ yards. I don't think San Jose State can shut down Navy's running game since they are allowing over 5 yards per carry at home.

San Jose State's offense led by QB David Fales has been impressive at some points, but mostly just disappointing. This team can not score in the red zone or convert on third downs. They are converting just 37% of their red zone opportunities into TD's and that can not happen especially when Navy is so good in the red zone scoring 73% TD's in the red zone. San Jose State also turns the ball over too much -2 in turnover margin while Navy is +7. Navy is just a better overall team that wants to revenge the last two years of losses against the Spartans and the Spartans are just a bad football team right now that you can't back in this one.

Where to find Freddy?