Okay, Maryland got their big win last week at Virginia Tech and they can all breathe a sigh of relief as they are bowl eligible, but now comes the hang over effect against BC. This Maryland team is not good enough to win back to back games even in the ACC. I was not shocked by Maryland's win over Virginia Tech on the road last week, because Virginia Tech had just upset Miami on the road and were clearly not in that game. The story here is can Maryland stop the running game of BC? Andre Williams is leading the nation in rushing and has 634 yards, but on paper looks like he'll be tested today against Maryland who is 16th vs the run from a ypc perspective.
That's smoke and mirrors. Here are the rushing offenses that Maryland "alleged" top 20 rushing defense has faced. 79th, 107th, 118th, 40th (LOSS), 120th, 121st, 82nd, 125th, and 16th (LOSS). The two top 50 rushing attacks they faced they lost by a combined score of 3-83 to Syracuse and Florida State. BC is ranked 10th in yards per carry and has rushed for over 200 yards in 6 of their last 7. Maryland's run defense has allowed 240+ rushing yards in their last 3 home games. This idea that Maryland can stack the box and stop the run is a myth. BC has been running and running well against stacked boxes all year and that's because Chase Rettig is a decent QB. They don't throw the ball often but Rettig to Alex Amidon is a good connection to keep defenses honest. Rettig makes good decisions and has a 144 QB rating with 14 TD and 4 interceptions on the year helping BC to a +6 turnover margin on the year. Maryland however has a -12 turnover margin in conference play and have turned the ball over 14 times in 5 home games. Boston College has a weakness in their secondary however they are 20th in sack %. I think that will allow them to get the win here along with their terrific rushing game.
