The Nets just game off a 7 game road trip which ended with a nice two game win streak so they return home with plenty of momentum, but traveling west to east is no difficult task not to mention they were there for more than 7 days and are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games following a road trip of 7+ days. Many experts are going to claim the Nets have a ton of motivation tonight having already lost to the Bulls two times, but I just think it's a bad match up as they struggle against defensive oriented teams especially teams that can rebound as well. They had revenge against Indiana all season and went 0-4. I expect them to lose tonight against the Bulls who are playing their best basketball of the season right now. The Bulls are also on 0 days rest which has inflated the line, but the Bulls are 8-4 ATS on the season on 0 days rest and their defense shouldn't suffer considering they cruised to an easy win vs. the Knicks yesterday.
Bulls are top in rebounding at #1 (Indiana is 4th), and 2nd in defense (Indiana is 2nd) so it is a very comparable match up and we mentioned the Nets went 0-4 against Indiana. The Nets have gone 6-16 against top 10 2 point defenses and 4-16 vs. top 10 rebound % teams for which Chicago falls under both categories for a 32-10 advantage. The Bulls held the Nets to 37% and 29.4% from 3 in the two match ups while enjoying a +24 rebound margin in wins of 16 and 17 points. They will win again tonight.
