UCSB is the much better team overall and have a lot to play for being just 1 game out of the Big West regular season title trailing UCI. Although UCI is likely to beat UC Davis earlier on Saturday UCSB will still play hard because they lost at home to Cal Poly as 8 point favorites earlier in the season. That game was simply a fluke loss and both of these teams have gone in opposite directions.
Santa Barbara and Cal Poly are big rivals so there will be plenty to play for and I don't see Cal Poly shooting 61% again from the three point land and Santa Barbara going 2-17. If anything those stats will be reversed on Saturday when you consider Cal Poly is -2% FG% overall at home and UCSB is +5.3% and +9.4% compared with their competitors from beyond the arch. Poly has also struggled over their last 5 games shooting just 36.5% overall and 30% from three. They were not a very good team all season long and are 2-10 ATS int heir last 12 games. UCSB was 3rd in the Big West in scoring and 2nd in defense and they'll lean on arguably the best player in the conference to get a big road win in Alan Williams who is averaging 21.5 ppg and 11.6rbg.
