We are getting a ton of value here on the Orioles hosting the Red Sox. On paper it appears the Red Sox hold a big advantage on the mound, but Chris Tillman has a 2.21 ERA over his last 10 starts vs. the Red Sox and has even held David Ortiz to 1-16 in his career. Combined the Red Sox carry a .181 average and a .509 OPS in 138 AB vs. Tillman. The Orioles have one of the leagues deepest bullpens so I expect whenever Tillman gets into trouble with the lead that the bullpen can come in and dominate.
Lester on the other hand has not pitched well vs. the Orioles he has a 4.02 ERA in his last 9 starts over the last 3 years, but in 3 starts at Camden Yards last year he had a 4.76 ERA. The Orioles won't make things easier for Lester adding Nelson Cruz to the mix who is 10-22 against Lester parlayed with Adam Jones and matt Weiters success and I think the Orioles should be able to get to Lester early. All 3 are relatively fast starters with .800+ OPS in their last 3 Aprils combined.
