This is the third day in a row we are backing and under dog.. Maybe the third time is a charm because the last two teams we backed were unable to hold a lead. I simply am fading the Cardinals offense who continues to struggle vs. LHP. This dates back to last year when they ranked 26th in OPS vs. LHP. Jonathan Niese is a capable LHP who is off to a nice start and I think he will have a higher probability to pitch a better game than Michael Wacha, because the Cardinals are 30th with a .497 OPS vs. LHP and are scoring just 1.42 runs per 9 on the road vs. LHP.

The Mets are not much better ranking 30th in OPS vs. RHP, but have a .601 OPS and are scoring over 3 runs per 9 at home vs RHP so it is an advantage worth backign with the Mets as a significant under dog here tonight. Both bullpens are nothing special ranking 21st and 22nd with identical ERA's of 4.31 and 4.32, but the Mets will be at home tonight and the Cardinal are just 1-7 in their last 8 games on the road vs LH starters. Tonight's umpire is Marty Foster and the home team is 22-10 in his last 32 behind the plate vs. the Cardinals.

Where to find Freddy?