Seahawks / Raiders Under 40.5 2.2%

Las Vegas hands the offense to rookie quarterback Fernando Mendoza for his first career NFL start against the league's stingiest downfield pass defense. Seattle leads the NFL in net yards per pass attempt allowed (4.65) and ranks second in passing yardage allowed (168.3 per game), using disguised two-high zone shells to eliminate explosive throws and force opponents into long, methodical drives. Expect Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak to insulate his rookie with Ashton Jeanty runs and high-percentage underneath throws that keep the clock moving.

Seattle has every incentive to mirror that conservative pace heading into its Week 11 bye. With Sam Darnold, left tackle Charles Cross, and All-Pro left guard Quenton Nelson all ruled out, Seattle must protect a banged-up Drew Lock from Maxx Crosby using quick-game releases and heavy rushing volume. Coming off a 17-3 grinder last week, Seattle's run-leaning script and elite secondary point to another low-possession defensive battle