The Astors are playing well right now and I like their match up against John Danks at home on Sunday.. The Astros have hit him well int he past and over their last 5 games they are hitting .395 vs. LHP and scoring 6.23 runs per 9 and their bullpen is pitching great with a 1.02 ERA. For the White Sox they definitely hit RHP, but today I think they get a bad match up because Peacock's strength is striking out guys. He's got 9.16K/9, so even if he has guys on base he can strand them against the White Sox who lead the league in strike outs.


Value play here as the Pacers have not had a strong post season, but they have won when they needed to and won 3 of their last 4 games. They really look like they have turned it around and I think no team gives the Heat more issues than the Pacers with Lance Stephenson guarding either Lebron or Wade and George defending the other.. I think it's going to be a great match up that comes down to the wire. Indiana was a great home team and against the Heat they won both games as a favorite -2 and -3.5 vs. the Heat now we are getting over 5 points to play with because of how the Pacers played down the stretch. They had two challenging match ups to start the playoffs and the oddsmakers know they can get a ton of public action on the Heat at this number. This is a perfect fade the public spot to be in.

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