Back to Verified Records & Archive
Verified Play Archive

2.2% NFL Teaser of the Week

Time Stamped Release Sep 20, 2026 - 11:38 AM

Falcons +8.5 / Bucs -2.5 2.2%

Leg 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (Teased from -8.5 down to -2.5)

  • The Context: Laying over a full touchdown and a hook (-8.5) in the NFL is always a dangerous proposition, especially against a division rival or an opponent capable of keeping it close.

  • The Teaser Value: By teasing the Bucs down through the key numbers of 7 and 3, we only need Tampa Bay to win the game outright by a field goal. We completely remove the risk of a backdoor cover or a narrow 4-to-6 point victory, letting us cash as long as Baker Mayfield and the offense take care of business at home.

Leg 2: Atlanta Falcons +8.5 (Teased from +2.5 up to +8.5)

  • The Context: Playing on the road or in tight divisional spots often comes down to a single possession. Giving ourselves a massive cushion past both the key numbers of 3 and 7 is elite teaser value.

  • The Teaser Value: Moving a short underdog all the way through +3, +4, +7, and up to +8.5 means Atlanta can lose the game outright by a touchdown, a field goal, or win the game outright, and our ticket still cashes. We are absorbing all standard single-digit losing margins in a game projected to be closely contested.

Integrity Matters - Archived Forever & Time Stamped

Want plays like this delivered before kickoff?

Lock in full season access or grab our upcoming packages today.

View Available Packages View 17-Year Records
Site design / logo © 2008 - 2026 freddywills.com. All rights reserved. Past performance and trends do not guarantee future results. Play responsibly.