Ole Miss +3.5 -115 2.5% w/ Ole Miss +145 1%

There is a lot of talk about Miami's defensive line and how they are going to take control of this game, but I have some questions about it.  Both pass rushers were gassed during the Ohio State game on a couple drives, and Ole Miss runs tempo, 18th fastest in the league.  I think this will work to their advantage here in this game.  Ole Miss also 6-0 averaging 33ppg vs. top 50 pass rush defenses.  I also think Ole Miss ability to run inside zone behind the right guard is a major advantage here. 

On the other side of the ball I am not confident in Carson Beck to win this game, and he's going to have to do that.  Despite what the #'s say, Ole Miss ranks93rd in ypc allowed, but most of their struggles came earlier in the season and against teams with a running QB.  Beck is not a running QB, and I think Ole Miss pass defense will be the difference here.

Ole Miss has the better special teams, and least penalized team in the match up which will be another advantage for them.