I feel like these odds are decent for a match up between two teams who are pretty similar. The Braves really struggle at home but are able to dominate at home and that's exactly what the Pirates are, and of course Pittsburgh is the home team tonight. Ervin Santana has been struggling over his recent starts 3.88 ERA overall on the road as well and he faces the Pirates who are ranked 5th in OPS vs. RHP and are scoring 1.5 runs per 9 innings more than the Braves. The Pirates bullpen ERA is also a run better when you take a look at the bullpen splits for home and away, but the biggest thing is the Pirates success at home vs. a RH starter as they are 21-7 in their last 28. Vance Worley has filled in pretty nicely for the Pirates sporting a 2.00 ERA at home over 5 starts at PNC and he will have a nice match up against the Braves who rank 26th vs. RHP in OPS.

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