Michigan -10 2.2% play @7:30PM ET
I think this is an upgrade at QB for Michigan with John O'Korn. With O'Korn they had 3 trips to the red zone 3 TD's vs. a good Purdue team. With Wilton Speights they had 10 trips to the red zone and just 1 TD. O'Korn also offers a bit more mobility and accuracy as he's completed 70% of his passes.

Michigan State off two very physical games in Notre Dame & Iowa coming into this game facing Michigan who is off a bye. Michigan State has covered the last 10 in the series and were 25 point dogs at home last season which says they should be a 30 point favorite at home, but they come in as a 10 point favorite. There is just too much value here with Michigan in my opinion. Michigan State is a very one dimensional offense right now it's QB Brian Lewerke or nothing. He's looked good at home, but in the last two games against Notre Dame and Iowa ranking 33rd, and 47th in yards per play defense this offense scored just 35 total points. Now they head onto the road to face the #1 defense in the nation from a yards per play perspective and I think they struggle to score.

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