Virginia +13 3.3% play

Boise State is that team trending in another direction since Chris Peterson left. I don't like the coaching staff and I think Bryan Harsin despite being 31-9 has a lot more to prove as the Boise head coach. Boise blew a late game against Washington State they should have had, and then they had a misleading 28-14 victory a week ago over New Mexico as they were out gained by 13 yards in that game and New Mexico if they hadn't lost two QB's would have probably won that game.   Now, Boise was still without Brett Rypien who returns for this game, but overall I think we should expect a competitive game.  Boise State just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games, but are still being price like Boise of a few years ago.

In comes Virginia and nobody is impressed with their 38-18 victory over Uconn where they rolled up 626 yards of offense. Bronco Mendenhall is the head coach in his second year. He's well experienced in making trips to Boise and preparing his players for this trip is something he has a lot of experience with.
The 3-3-5 that Mendenhall runs defensively really tricks QB's the first time they see it. Right now Rypien hasn't seen it in his college career. He has not faced San Diego State and when he faced Virginia in his freshman year they were not running it.   We have seen it already this year with teams struggling in the first half against this Virginia defense.  I would expect Virginia to be leading this game int he first half so the first half is not a bad bet either.


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