Arizona State +4.5 4.4* NCAAF POD

This line is about right with Arizona State's QB Taylor Kelly missing the game and a lot of unknowns. However, I feel confident in Arizona State at home despite their defense not being a top tier unit. They lost 8 starters from a year ago, but these guys playing at home with a chip on their shoulder knowing they are the supposed weakest unit will be interesting to see. They actually get a good match up here in my opinion going against UCLA. UCLA has not been good on offense despite having an NFL QB in Brett Hundley who is not 100% healthy thanks to the atrocious play of his offensive line and no real game changers on offense. UCLA is 72nd in yards per play and 115th in sack % allowed. Arizona State always has an aggressive front with athletes and they may be inexperienced, but I'm betting on them coming up big tonight in this marquee match up. They will see a balanced offense, but neither the passing or the running game of UCLA scares me right now.

Arizona State offense has been superb ranking 3rd in yards per play, but they have not played anyone. They have had 12 days to prepare and with a new QB in Mike Bercovici and I think they will be able to move the ball. UCLA has big names that are over hyped this unit is 111th in sack % and they can't pin their ears back against Arizona State's big OL because the running game is a real threat with DJ Foster who is averaging 9.44 yards per carry. I don't see how UCLA will keep Arizona State from moving the ball and their play up front is simply not good enough to be a road favorite. They can't get to the QB and they can't protect their QB and they're a road favorite? I'll take the points enjoy!

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