Northern Illinois is 3-6 in conference play Bowling Green 6-3 and everyone is jumping on BG to get their 2nd win vs. Northern Illinois after they beat them by 10 earlier in the year, but the only difference in that game was Bowling Green's ability to hit 3's as they went 7-18 while Northern Illinois shot 2-12. Neither team has an elite offense in fact in conference play Bowling Green is ranked 9th in offensive efficiency and Northern Illinois is ranked 11th. The difference being BG can not manufacturer offense in creative ways while Northern Illinois is 1st in offensive rebounding % and FT rate. Northern Illinois has an even greater advantage at home where they are +12 FTA, +4 rebounding and +3 turnover margin on the season on average at home. I think they will win all 3 categories and ad din the fact that Bowling Green wins with defense, but is 7th in 2 point defense overall is a scary stat with Northern Illinois shooting all of their shots from 2 70% roughly. Bowling Green defends it well at home 39.6% but on the road that number climbs to 53.5%.


Northridge lost to UC Davis on the road by 2 for 2 reasons. They are ranked 10th in FT% yet they went 12-21 in that game and they allowed UC Davis to hit 12 three's out of 25. UC Davis is still the 2nd best team in conference play in defending the 3 while UC Davis has shown an ability to hit the 3 everywhere i don't see them going 12-25 again and I don't see Northridge going 12-21 at the FT line. That should bring this game back into perspective. The odds on this are off by a bit and should be considering Northridge has lost 5 in a row and UC Davis has won 7 of 8 ATS. Northridge is a very experienced team and have had a much tougher schedule along the way 115th to 297 and in conference play they have had the toughest schedule compared to UC Davis at 8th. I like Northridge to win this game outright but will not pas sup the 4 points.

Where to find Freddy?