Florida Atlantic +10 2.2% play
Navy returns some new starters, but they are breaking in a
new QB this year who started and did not look good in the game against Army to
end the year. This would have been a
play of the day if the line did not move against me like it has, but I feel
still very strongly about FAU and my
algorithms also feel strongly with an 11-2 ATS edge.
I spoke about this team on my podcast quite a bit this off
season and it's not just the splash of Lane Kiffin who I feel is an under rated
coach. This is FAU's best recruiting
class ever ranked #1 in Conference USA and 69th overall, Navy was 97th. They also bring in a potential star at QB in
DeAndre Johson who I think will make some splashes this season. The former Florida State QB out of high
school played at JUCO Eastern Mississippi and comes over with his QB coach
Clint Tricket. Kiffin also brings over
another young coach in Kendal Briles to lead the offense. Unfortunate for Briles he shares the same
last name as his father, but after beign the OC at Baylor the last two years
this is a great move for him and should get him another job after the year.
Other reasons to like Florida Atlantic are the fact that
they are among the most experienced teams in the country returning 17 total
starters and they lost just 8 letterman.
They have been a team lacking confidence the last two years with 7
combined net close losses including multiple blown fourth quarter leads. They have 3 guys on offense that I feel are
first team All-CUSA in WR Kalib Woods, C antonyo Woods, and T Reggie Bain. Meanwhile the defense has two as well in S
Jalen Young, and LB Azeez Al-Shaair.
Navy always out performs expectations, but I prefer to back
them as an underdog on the road not a double digit favorite. They break in a new QB which is the most
important position on a triple option team.
FAU has had all summer to prepare for the offense they will face and I
think they have the potential of winning this game outright.
