Wendesday I under estimated LA Tech and the talent they have. Friday Night we come with a Big East college football game, my favorite conference!

[b:9eebri2l]Pittsburgh @ Louisville (8:00pm et)[/size:9eebri2l][/center:9eebri2l]


[size=150:9eebri2l][color=#FF0000:9eebri2l][b:9eebri2l]Freddy Wills's Pick[/color:9eebri2l][/size:9eebri2l]
[b:9eebri2l]Take Louisville +7 (3-Dime Play)(1-5 scale)
I'm taking Louisville with the points at home hosting Pitt. Pitt has allowed two teams in a row to put up 500+ yards on them in Buffallo and NC State. Pittsburgh's offense is struggling enough that Louisville should be able to take this game.

Pitt's Offense has struggled when it counts. 3rd down conversions on the year are converted just 34% of the time. That just won't win you games. Along with their 3rd down woes are their 2nd half play has not been good and that's partially due to defenses shutting down Dion Lewis who leads the Big East with 493 rushing yards and is the early favorite for Big East rookie of the year something that Louisville's own Vic Anderson got last year. Pitt in their last three contests converted just 4-20 third down conversions in the 2nd Half and on the season they have scored just 57 of their 150 points in the 2nd half. They failed in 5 of 7 of their 2nd half possessions against NC State to get even a first down.

Louisville will have a tough time, but we have seen enough that shows they can move the ball against Pitt who has been lit up as of late. Louisville did look sharp and is able to pass the ball on teams as we saw when they faced Kentucky in a game they should have won if it was not for the 100 yard kickoff return they gave up and a fumble on a punt by their explosive returner Trent Guy. Louisville's QB Justin Burke has to come up big like he did against Kentucky. Louisville has been a 2nd half team against Utah and Louisville they need to get off to a good start to have a chance to win this game. Vic Anderson should get a lot of carries and he's averaging 5.2 ypc on the year.

[b:9eebri2l]Where does Louisville have the advantage?
Special teams, I like their chances because of special teams. Trent Guy has fumbled the last twoo weeks, but he's way too dangerous to be taken out of the lineup for returns as he leads the Big East with 33 yards per return. Pitt has a guy of their own no pun intended with Saddler who is 2nd in the Big East in returns, but the advantage comes where Louisville has a specialty kicker who averages 70 yards per kickoff. This should keep Pitt back in terms of field position.

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