**3-Dime Oddsline Error Play + 1-Dime Bonus**
[img:3dheo41r]http://www.sportsbetcapping.com/images/ncaaf/Western%20Michigan.gif[/img:3dheo41r] vs. [img:3dheo41r]http://www.sportsbetcapping.com/images/ncaaf/Toledo.gif[/img:3dheo41r][/]
I am fading Toledo again just like I did a week ago when they visited Ball State. I got moosed big time at the end of that game to find out how go and look at Payne Sports blog in BAD BEATS. That is neither here or there as I think I'm getting a hole bunch of value with Western Mich an early favorite for the MAC title that has struggled thus far.
Western Michigan has had a challenging schedule so far as they had earlier games at Michigan and Indiana and played well! This line is the way it is because they went to Northern Illinois and stunk it up big time in a 3-38 loss. That's why it's an error in my opinion. I'm not saying Western Mich will win, but it's not a 9.5 point spread type game which is where it has soared to I bet by Saturday you can get it at +10 easily. This is why Western Mich played @ Norther Illinois without their best WR Juan Nunez who will be returning this week after suffering with a bruised knee injury. He will spread the field out as he's got good speed on the year he has 23 receptions for 341 yards nad this is bad news for Toledo who gave up 30 points to Ball State and are ranked 104th in pass defense and 98th in rush defense. So that's two things Western Mich has going for them into this game, a target back on offense and a poor defense. Norther Illinois is good! They ranked 51 overall on defense 64 against the pass and they played well enough to win @ Wisconsin (20-28) and they won @ Purdue so it's not like they beat cup cakes for those rankings. I expect Tim Hiller to bounce back from a poor performance against a poor pass defense and their defense to step up big time as they are a desperate team.
