This line will continue to climb today and I'll take it at +4 where it is at many books and will be at the majority of them here tonight. Wisconsin is the exact team that has given Miami troubles all year long. Wisconsin has had more rushing yards with their stand out RB John Clay than every team they have faced this year. Miami also a solid rushing team to go with a solid rushing defense has been out rushed in three games. They just do not play the power game run and stop the run as well as Wisconsin. Both have similar strength of schedules so the stats can be taken seriously. In the three games that Miami was out gained they won two of them, but those two wins were by 1 point each and the loss to Virginia Tech was by 24 points. This Miami teams plays best when the running game is working and they should have a lot of trouble getting it going here today against the #8 ranked team against the run.

Although Miami is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 bowl games and Wisconsin got torched a year ago in this Champs Sports Bowl by another Florida ACC team in Florida State I believe they will be ready this time around. This is a Wisconsin team that was a couple of plays or games away from playing on New Years. In their games against top flight passing teams they played extremely well going 3-1 and the loss came by just 2 points to Northwestern a solid team that knocked off Iowa. Even though they lost it was still not by what they are given here today which is 4 points. Wisconsin is also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as an under dog while Miami is 10-24-1 ATS in their last 35 games as a favorite including 2-11 ATS as a favorite between 3.5-10 points.

In Miami's three losses QB Jacoby Harris struggled big time often forcing too many passes. Harris is a pocket passer despite having the speed to move around. Teams that can get to him have forced him to make mistakes and that included 4 against UNC, 3 against Clemson, and 1 against Virginia Tech. Wisconsin has that type of defense and has been tested by some solid passing games out of the Big Ten. They have a very solid pass rush with O'Brien Schofield and the fact that Miami will be with out their 6-7 tackle Jason Fox will make this a huge advantage for Wisconsin and probably the biggest reason why I'm not backing Miami here at all. Look for Wisconsin to put Schofield in position all day to make plays for the Badgers. I believe Wisconsin plays with the lead for most of the night in what will be a close game, but Miami should have an opportunity to win the game in the 4th, but if they do it will only be by a FG.

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