Freddy is releasing 3 value plays at the cost of $15/pick in this three play package starting on Saturday Evening, 2 of 3 are under dogs that can win outright! Don't miss out on all the action in Week 2 as Freddy has an awesome 23-5 ATS record over the last 5 years in Week 2 of college football action. All 3 plays will come with a full in depth analysis and odds from Thursday night's release! Grab them early before they change and pick up his NCAAF POD while you are at it, a top college football against the spread selection!


I will take a flyer on Tulsa, a team I really see as making dramatic improvements in 2015 with 16 returning starters and a very exciting offense under Phillip Montgomery, the former Baylor OC. He gets his entire offensive line back, and returns a QB and the top WR’s on the team. This was an offense that was 93rd in the country in yards per play and they will be a top 50 team on offense at least. That’s a major improvement. It showed in week 1 that this offense can and will be dangerous and traveling across the country to face New Mexico won’t be an issue.

New Mexico will try to slow the game down with their run first approach which will probably gain over 300 yards, but this is a team that really could not get first downs last year just 29.5% at home a year ago, and they only got into the red zone 30 times overall. Tulsa got there last year without Montgomery 46 times and 6 times in their first game alone. Tulsa actually has the better offense here and should be able to come up with the key stops on defense against a very predictable offense in New Mexico. Tulsa does have talent on defense, and I think they will make enough key stops to win this game outright.


This is almost a blind play for me as it falls under my formula’s 16-3 ATS record system. This is Jim Mora’s most talented team, and he hasn’t played a team this bad in his tenure at UCLA since maybe perhaps New Mexico State in 2013 (59-13 W). UCLA brings back 18 starters, and the biggest question mark was the QB, and that got answered the first week of the season. 5 star QB Josh Rosen looked every bit of the hype as he completed 80% of his passes with 3 TD and 0 INT’s against a very good defense in Virginia. Virginia was ranked 25th in yards per play allowed last season under 5yds per play, and Rosen and company put up 7. Virginia’s secondary was supposed to be one of the strengths of the unit and again they really struggled against Rosen and now all of a sudden UCLA is a very scary team.

UNLV is in for a long season, and I think we get value with this line, because they had a pretty good showing against Northern Illinois, a big name program out of the MAC, but this team still returns just 10 starters from a year ago and feature a head coach from the high school ranks with no head coaching experience. This is a team that was much better last year that lost by 45 to Arizona.


This team has 15 returning starters to go along with that they have an athletic dual threat QB that can defeat an SEC defense in Freddie Knighten along with a very good DL. They are used to going on the road to face opponents out of the power 5 conference, but finally they get to host one, and it should be an electric environment as Arkansas State also did multi million dollar renovations to their stadium. This is a very odd spread from a public perception after Arkansas State lost to USC 6-55 on the road, but a closer look and they were only -100 yards, but had 4 turnovers. Freddie Knighten is a very good QB, and has rebounded quite well over the course of his career and I expect him to play one of his best games yet in a night game at home.
This has the potential of an upset and one of the best games in Arkansas State’s history, but it will take them winning the turnover battle against Missouri.

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