Freddy Wills is back for week 3 after another profitable week and another top play winner on Thursday with Louisville moving to 4-1 on the season with over $130,000 in career profit on college football PODs!. Freddy on a 24-11 ATS run on his 5.5* max rating plays for college football and has been especially successful over his career in week 3 with a combined 27-11 ATS record! This plays is another very strong play with some value and a shot at an outright winner on the money line! Guaranteed or Friday is on Freddy!



Texas was a 9.5 point favorite in this game a month ago, and perception has definitely left us with great value. Even in Texas win last week they looked terrible, but had a 42-14 lead late which was lost leaving bettors upset with the final 42-28 score. So now we have 2 teams coming in this is our classic buy low, sell high. California bettors are extremely happy covering ATS by a margin of 2 TD’s in both of their games, and now they are an incredible 7 point favorite on the road against Texas! We are already hearing the Charlie Strong should be fired cries, but I actually think Texas is in better shape and I really like their opportunity to pull the upset at home. I’ll take the better defense + nearly a TD every single time at home.

Finally Tyrone Swoops seems to be gone and Jerred Heard has taken over after looking very very good against Rice with nearly 100 yards rushing and 130 yards passing with 2 TD and 0 interceptions. Finally Texas might have a balanced offense and they face a Cal team with plenty of issues still on defense especially in the secondary. San Diego State was able to have success against Cal and actually had the advantage in time of possession and I see Texas being able to do the same thing in this game with their offensive line and talented running backs.

Cal’s offense has looked great, but a red flag is their inability to convert on third downs at just 36%. This team lost 2 offensive linemen, and they go up against a Texas defense that has a strength in the secondary although it hasn’t showed yet. Texas was also 10th in sack % on defense last year while Cal was 95th in protecting their QB. Goff did not play well against the top pass rush units in the PAC 12 a year ago. There were 4 total teams in the top 25 in pass rush out of the Pac 12 and he avoided 2 of them, and faced 2 at home, but threw just 1 passing TD and had 4 interceptions (Washington/Stanford). Texas is not there yet, but I think the confidence at home and the chip on their shoulder for being a 7 point dog to Cal will bring out the best.

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