81% of the public is backing a Michigan team favored by double digits on the road in conference that has proven WHAT? Okay they have the #1 offense as of right now in the land I'll give them that, but they have gotten that done against an average 92nd ranked defense. Indiana is playing decent on O but that's not where they'll win this game. More on the offense of Michigan that week by week gets weaker in my opinion as there is more and more tape on them. Denard Robinson injured his knee and he'll play but not sure how healthy he'll be. This could be a look ahead game for Michigan as they face Michigan State next week. This could be a huge mistake for them as the Wolverine defense has not been able to stop ANYONE on offense. I remind you they started 4-0 last year and dropped 7 of their last 8 games.
Indiana has been pointing to this game since last year. With the bulk of their offense returning from the team that lost 33 to 36 on the road they are ready. Ben Chapel is mighty capable of thowing against a Michigan defense that gave up 200+ pass yards to CT, Umass, and Bowling Green three teams that are not known for their air attack. Chapel has 9 TD's 0 Int's and 72.4% pass completion. This is going to be a shoot out and don't forget about their running back Willis as he racked up 152 yards on 16 carries a year ago. Chapel's targets in Celcher, Turner and Doss will give the Wolverines tons of issues early on Saturday and they won't be ready. Not to mention Michigan's special teams has been dreadful as they are among the worst in the nation in punt returns and they are still looking for a kicker. This could be huge in a shoot out game if Indiana can force some 3rd and longs.
I like the Tigers a lot despite being heavily favored and I think Vegas may have caught this mistake with more public on Tennessee the line has moved two points from opening at -14.5. For one the field will be tilted for Tennesse all day with awful field position. You either kick it to Patrick Peterson and watch him make plays or you kick it out of bound and give LSU good field position. Why do I bring this up? Well LSU's defense is stout and I think they force Tenn into lots of third downs where they are an embarrassing 11 for 48 this year at 18.97% that's worse in the nation. LSU is among the best on defense allowing opponents to convert just 27.6% of the time.. Is this going to magically change? I think not.
Okay so you want to play the LSU can't pass game? Okay you try passing if you are LSU against these pass defenses. West Virginia 24th, Vanderbilt 35th, North Carolina 4th, Miss State 42nd. Tenn is ranked 73rd and they have not really faced good passing offenses with 44, 90 and 33. I think LSU's offense comes alive this week at home and they finally get the passing game going.. With rumors of Patrick Peterson getting some offensive touches I think LSU rolls easy to a 30+ point win. This is not the same Volunteer team they proved that to me at home when I had them at +12 vs. Oregon and they were up early 13-3 only to get waxed and play terrible pass coverage vs. Oregon in the second half giving up 48 points.
