I love the home dog here. Air Force coming off the loss to TCU and Utah walked all over Colorado State at home. This line is a bit off for those two reasons and I'll take advantage as the two have played many close games in the last few years as Air Force has given Utah many problems including last years 23-16 over time victory for Utah.
Utah has had a weak schedule probably the weakest among ranked teams. They have faced 93rd average defense and 104th average offense. So don't take their rankings too seriously. There is a reason the line has not moved at all despite 81% of the public putting their money on Utah -7 on the road. Utah has not faced a team with a run game this good since Pitt and Pitt was banged up, and they have not faced a secondary even close to being this good all season. With that said I think Air Force will slow the game down run the ball like they always do and keep the game within reach. They have faced Colorado STate and Wyoming like Utah and the results have been similar with a 49-27 win against Col State and a 20-14 win over Wyoming while Utah won 30-6 and 59-6. Utah hasn't faced a team like Air Force unless you call them Pitt who nearly beat Utah in a 3 point loss, but Air Force has faced a team very similar to Utah in San Diego State.
San Diego State can do it all on offense and defense so far this year and they have faced a more challenging schedule. yet on the road Air Force nearly came up with an upset but lost 25-27 despite being +35 in total yards.
