First of all Oreg State gave up 367 yards at home to Sacramento State last week and lost 28-29. Now they go on the road to play a Wisconsin team that clicked in their debut vs. UNLV and they have to do it with 2 days less rest and at 9am body clock time as they travel across the country. The last time Oregon State did that they lost 63-27 at Louisville in 2005. The last time they faced a Big Ten school they lost 45-14 to Penn State. Add in the fact this team has plenty of injuries that are not helping them including electrifying James Rodgers and possible All American TE Joe Hahuni and now Malcolm Agnew the bright spot from last week's loss is doubtful with an injury to his hamstring. On defense they lose a pair of tackles which will weaken the defensive line vs. one of the best running teams in the country behind Monte Ball and James White as well as dual threat QB Russel Wilson who plays behind an offensive line averaging 6-4.5 and 320lbs.
Wisconsin's offensive coordinator has an idea of what Oregon State likes to do he and Oregon State's head coach Mike Riley are good friends I'm sure he'll share that with the defense that will match up much better than they did a week ago vs. UNLV running the pistol, something they are not used to seeing. Wisconsin has said they will be a 4-3 base blitz aggressive team. That's the team I do not mind laying this kind of points at home with against an Oregon State team that can not even decide on a QB as both will play. Oregon State is 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games in September and I expect them to make some upsets throughout the season this just is not one of them with Wisconsin averaging 57.7 ppg in their last 6 home games.
