I'll highlight what I"m about to go over.. First things first Tennessee is always a tough home team in conference play so I'm not under estimating them I just know Georgia is the hotter team right now and have faced a tougher schedule which I'll get into in a minute. Tennesse is one dimensional offense, they can't force TO's, they have benefited from the weak schedule and their blocking along the offensive line will finally be tested.
Georgia has faced Boise, South Carolina, Miss, and Miss St while the Volunteers faced Florida and a Big East team. Stats and numbers are flawed and everyone is talking about QB Tyler Bray who has 14 TD's and 2 INT's, but Bray faces a real defense for hte first time without star WR Justin Hunter and now we will see them struggle as Georgia can get pressure and they have 8 interceptions already this year and are +2 in turnover margin while TN does not force turnovers only 1 interception. That's been the one weakness of Georgia QB Aaron Murray he throws INT's I think he escapes with his best game of the year.
Georgia also has been getting to the QB as I mentioned in their last 2 games they have 9 sacks. That does not bode well as Bray is not used to feeling any type of pressure and I'd be interested to see if his inexperience shows. I'm betting it will. Georgia has held opponents to 25% on 3rd down conversions which will be a key stat in covering this spread as they are ranked 4th in the nation in pass defense and in their SEC games they are holding opposing QB's to 47.2% completion percentage. No doubt Bray is the best one they've faced, but he's also inexperienced. This is actually a big game as the SEC East is wide open with South Carolina and Florida losing last week. Georgia's defense is a real strength on this team and they have a balanced offensive attack especially since freshmen RB Isaih Crowell has rushed for more than 100 yards in 3 straight SEC games. This will be the game that Georgia's experienced offensive line looks the part.
Lastly Tenn's special teams is a mess. How much of a mess they have allowed opponents to block punts in back to back games. Georgia has a real strength here in the punting and the kicking game and I expect it to help them get a big time road win in week 6.
