Too much hype over SMU's victory over an over rated TCU team. TCU is not the same defense or offense as years past. Now UCF which has never lost to SMU will continue their conference dominance 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conf games while SMU is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games and 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 conference games. Central Florida's defense is the real deal they've allowed the 2nd fewest yards on defense in the NATION, and are allowing just 10 ppg. They held SMU to 7 points in the conference championship last year and even more importantly this year SMU can't get off the field on 3rd down allowing opponents to convert 50% of the time while Central Florida is allowing just 24%. That'll be the difference!

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