Enjoy the Big 12 game of the week with Freddy Wills, our resident #1 career leader in profit in college football handicapping. Freddy releases a full in depth analysis for your betting confidence, and is ranking this one of his strongest plays of the week! Freddy off back to back winning weeks and has dominated November in his career! Don't miss out on his other plays on Saturday:

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Let’s not get carried away with this Oklahoma team who lost to Texas, the one and only top 50 defense they have played all year. Oklahoma will be facing their stiffest task, and the only reason we have such a low spread for Baylor is the fact that Oklahoma has been covering everything Vegas has thrown at them including a 39 point spread that they covered by 16 points. They have covered their last 4 ATS by a margin of 25.25 points. Baylor comes into this game with a freshmen QB playing in just his second game, and they lost their last 2 games ATS by 13.25 points after the spread. Baylor also struggled with Kansas State last week while Oklahoma blew them out 55-0, but Oklahoma got Kansas State at the right time. Kansas State just nearly upset TCU and gave their all in that game. Kansas State got Baylor during the week, at home with their freshmen QB making his first start on the road.

Actually Jarrett Stidham played exceptionally well and showed a lot of poise considering his running game did not help him out. He had a nice day completing 23/33 passes for 419 yards and 3 TD’s. Just like this is the best defense he’s going to face, this is the best offense that Oklahoma is going to face, it’s also the best defense Oklahoma is going to face.

Oklahoma has put up 52+ points in each of their last 4 games, but the schedule is a joke facing the following ranked defenses from a yards per play perspective, 103, 119, 127, and 116. This is why nobody can give the Big 12 any credit and I have even been on this conference for a while because of this. Baylor however is one of the exceptions, and their defense is full of next level talent. I just think they get bored out there, but they are well aware of the implications on this game and I believe they are poised to play their best game against Oklahoma who has faced 1 team ranked in the top 50 in defense and that was Texas ranked 46th in yards per play allowed and we all know how that turned out. Baylor is ranked 36th. Game of the year line before the season was 13 in favor of Baylor, and opened at 7. We are getting tremendous value here and Baylor has played Oklahoma well on defense the last few years. They haven’t been a favorite of less than a TD at home in over 3 years, and are 19-4 ATS in their last 23 despite that fact. Looking for Baylor to come away with a big impressive performance.

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