Don't miss out I'm red hot right now 10 of 11 with the loss bein on miss st +373! don't miss out on tonight's three game package guaranteed to profit or one day is free!

Duke -1.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
They are just a better team and this line shows it.  They want revenge for FSU upsetting them at the buzzer and ending Duke’s 45 game home winning streak.  It won’t be easy as Florida State plays great defense but I believe Duke can match that defensive intensity which was something they did not do at home in the first match up and ultimately cost them that game.  They allowed FSU to shoot 54% and 50% from three.  They even got to the Ft line more times while Duke only shot 39.7%.  They did shoot 43.5% from 3 which is where they can score points yet again considering the front court dominance on FSU side defensively.
 
The difference was Austin Rivers/ Seth Curry combined for 11-32 shooting and I do not see that happening again.  Florida State shot 50% from three and that just won’t happen again they 194th in 3 point offense on the year 33.8%.  Duke is 22nd so expect those balances to shift in what will be the difference in the game.  The Duke defense has really come alive of late they held BC without a FG for 14+ minutes in their last game and the rebounding too as they held a +24 rebound margin.  Granted BC is not very good but it’s good to see Duke play a full game and I think that translates across the board as they have better numbers over their last 3 games compared to season averages on 3 point defense, fg% defense and rebound%.  The offense is the offense as always and this team can grind out road games in challenging environments.  Duke has been a really good road team this year winning all 6 of their ACC road contests and this one is just as big as they want to beat FSU who they are tied with. 
 
Eastern Washington -120 (3* Late Night Fix)
Eastern Washington forced 23 turnovers in their last game but failed to score to take advantage, but now they go on the road against Idaho State where their uptempo offense (66th in possessions/game) could have a major impact on Idaho State which is very thin off their bench.  In their last game 3 players played 44+ minutes in 1 OT game, two of which who played the entire game.  I don’t think Eastern Washington’s uptempo and pressure defense will have a good result here.  Eastern Washington has a lot to play for as well trying to clinch a Big Sky tournament spot.  Idaho St just isn’t a very good team – 41.1% field on the season and they are 297th in rebound margin. 
 
Murray State -4 (3.3* bonus play)
Murray sure showed everyone they are the real deal as they blasted St. Mary’s and now they get to pound their chests more as they seek revenge for their only loss of the season at TN state, who beat them at home by 4.  So much happened in that game and so many things went right for TN state yet they win by just 4?   TN State shot 48% and 5 from 11 from three and got to the FT line 31 times.  On the season TN State is 164th in FG% offense 43.4 and Murray State only allows an average 41.9%.  On the flip side Murray who shot 46% was good enough to win the game but on the season they average 47.4% and TN State is 255th in FG% defense so expect Murray to shoot better tonight.
 
The biggest difference in this game that I see is the FT line.  Murray was -14 FTA and on the season they are ranked 20th getting to the line 24.3 times.  They got their over 7 times less and allowed TN state to get there 9 times over their average.  Murray State is also a very good FT shooting team ranked 59th 72.9% and shot under that in the last game.  Expect Murray to get back into the way they play which is aggressive and get to the FT line in this game which could make a huge difference from the first game.

Where to find Freddy?


site design / logo © 2008 - 2024 freddywills.com