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Butler +1 (3.3* Early Prime Time)
Butler lost very early in the season in OT at home to Valpo.  They’ll look for payback as they look to revenge 2 straight losses dating back to last year.  Valpo really has nothing to play for they won in OT earlier in the week to clinch the regular season Horizon Championship for the first time so if anything they’ll be hung over from that magical game with nothing to play for tonight as they already get the bye in the Horizon tournament.
 
Meanwhile Butler is in 3rd place but there are 3 teams behind them looking to challenge for one of the 4 spots for a bye in the tournament.  They need a win badly and they’ll also like beating the team that won the conference regular season title.  Butler has been playing extremely well of late especially on the defensive end limiting opponents to 37.5% over their last 5 games.  They won on the road at Cleveland State, a team most feel is the best team out of the Horizon.  Valpo hits 51.7% at home but in their last game only shot 44.7% and it took OT to beat a team they were favored by 11.5 points.  Butler is a completely different team than they were the last time these faced and it will show.
 
Valpo shoots 40% of their shot from three but Butler shut them down the first game allowing 31.3% and over their last three games have allowed 24%.  They just didn’t shoot well in the first game 34% despite having a +7 rebound advantage and 19 more FGA.  Butler should win this game here today they are 35-15-2 ATS in their last 52 as a dog.
 
West Virginia pk 4.4* POD)
Love WV in this spot and I don’t buy into 2 games in 3 days as a big deal.  These guys are young and they recover much quickly than the NBA older guys.  Marquette has played great this year but they are still a 2 man team with Crowder/Odom attempting 10+ 3 point FGA a game.  West Virginia should be able to shut them down at home in my opinion.  They play great defense here and I don’t see them losing a 4th straight home game.
 
WV needs a win badly here and when they’ve needed big wins they have gotten them.  WV is shooting 47.3% at home so expect Bryant and Kevin Jones to have big games along with Kilicki in the paint who will be a handful for an undersized Marquette team that will likely also be out rebounded here. As West Virginia is 24th in rebounding % compared to Marquette is 173rd.  Marquette also does not have good road numbers shooting just 42.9% and playing 44.7% defense.  The one advantage they do have in a home/away situation would be FT% but West Virginia has been able to get to the FT line 6 more times than opponents at home.
 
Everyone is thinking West Virginia is ready to collapse but they still have enough veteran leadership to get some big wins.  With not many quality opponents left on the schedule I see this as a must win for them.  They have been victim of the nation’s 8th toughest schedule.  Don’t forget Marquette has never won at West Virginia and they have loses against LSU, Georgetown, Syracuse and recently Notre Dame by 17 on the road where they are just 5-4.
 

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