Youngstown State -2.5 (4.4* NCAAB POD)
This will be the third time these two meet this season with the season series split on home and away.  Both teams feature solid guards and two of the nation’s top shot blockers in the paint in Youngstown’s Damian Eargle 3.9 blocks per game and Green Bay’s Alec Brown 3.1.  In their two match ups much of the game decided from the perimeter because of this.  Youngstown shot 20 3’s per game and hit 19 for 40 while Green Bay shot 13 for 30.  Youngstown able to create more turnovers in both game and the rebound margin was even. 
 
Youngstown is home and that should be the difference along with their perimeter game ranked 40th shooting 37.7% from three.  Wisconsin Green Bay is ranked 284th defending the 3 and Youngston is allowing 33% at home.   One weakness I was worried about was Youngstown’s ability to hit FT’s but they are averaging 72.9% in their last 3 and hit 14-18 at Green Bay in the last match up which they lost.  Expect Youngstown to come out and win this game from the start.
 
Montana -4.5 (2.2* bonus)
Montana and Weber it’s a Big Sky rematch and which ever team wins will host the Big Sky tourney.  The first game saw Weber state win, but Montana hosts the more important game and again that will be the difference as they play great at home and they also draw large crowds. Montana is just a better offensive and defensive team pound for pound home/away and in conference play.  They are also 13-4 ATs in their last 17 and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 in Big Sky play.  In the first match up that they lost they shot just 38% and average 48% at home.  Their defense is a lot better at home to so I don’t expect Weber to shoot 46.6% again either.  Most of all they only force 4 TO’s in the first match up expect the pressure defense to be picked up they force over 15 turnovers in conference play.

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