Colorado -3 2.2% play
I will take the Buffaloes here despite them beign without their star defensive coordinator in Jim Leavitt who is moving onto Oregon. I still think they are the better team and faced the tougher schedule this year. The PAC 12 went 3-0 vs. the Big 12 this year with an average margin of victory of 11 points.

Let’s talk defense. Colorado ranks 11th overall in yards per play allowed having faced a tough group of offenses ranking 48.5 in ypp. Oklahoma State faced a similar strength of schedule 46.36 and ranked 90th. I will take the better defense in this match up especially since the strength of this Colorado defense is the pass rush and pass defense. Oklahoma State’s offensive strength is the pass game, but they have faced an average pass defense ranking 80th an average overall defense ranked 74th. Colorado ranks 4th vs. the pass and is the best defense Mason Rudolph and company will face.

Colorado’s offense ranks 78th, but they have faced two top 5 units and an average 57th ranked YPP defense. I think they will be able to move the ball against Oklahoma State. The key is the running game with their QB Liufau. In their 3 losses he had a total of 19 yards rushing, and Oklahoma State has had a ton of issues defending mobile QB’s. Baylor’s Seth Russel ran for 65, Iowa State’s Joel Lanning 67, Kansas State’s Jesse Ertz 153, and TCU’s Kenny Hill 79 yards. I’ll back the senior QB who didn’t think he was healthy enough to play this year in his final game as I expect Colorado to win this one by a TD or more.

Where to find Freddy?


site design / logo © 2008 - 2024 freddywills.com