Freddy Wills has completely dominated bowl season on Christmas Eve going a career 8-1 ATS, and it appears there will be much of the same as he releases a RARE MAX RATING play of the day. His max rating play of the day's have gone an amazing 64.7% ATS during his bowl career and this play comes with a full in depth analysis in the Hawaii Bowl.


I’ll take the Aztecs in this game who do not have to travel nearly as far as Cincinnati for the Hawaii Bowl. I also think the Bearcats programs is in shamble’s a bit, and having to travel to Hawaii with a young team is not going to help. For San Diego State they have already made this trip this year and did so in great fashion. I have been impressed by Rocky Long’s quotes the week they went to Hawaii and how he had his team prepared and I expect nothing different here. It also does not hurt that this matchup is something I also love.

First of all both starting QB’s are out for this game, and Cinci who relies much more on their QB are going to have a very tough time against San Diego State’s defense that runs a unique 3-3-5 defense that I’m not sure Hayden Moore has seen much of. Moore also will take a lot of chance and very prone to turning the ball over. In fact Cinci is one of the worst teams in TO margin ranking 124th, while San Diego State come in ranked 1st overall. It’s a huge advantage for San Diego State that will most likely show up in the game. Cinci also going to have a hard time running the ball against Rocky Long’s bunch as they ranked 8th in run defense. Cincinnati is 0-5 losing by an average margin of 14 when they don’t rush for over 150 yards.

So I mentioned earlier that Cinci is in shambles. There are all kinds of rumors about Tuberville retiring, and their OC moving on to Kentucky. Along with that is the fact that their starting QB Gunner Kiel, a 5 star leader on this team wont’ be traveling due to personal reasons that have been announced as a pain killer addiction. Really sad story, but this team is 0-5 vs. the top 50 in the nation. San Diego State, a team that will rely on the run heavily and won’t be hurt by the fact they will be without their QB as much. Donnell Pumphrey, a dynamic back should be the MVP of this game or I’ll be shocked as the Bearcats have allowed over 5 yards per carry on the season. I also like the fact that San Diego State is less penalized on the season, ranked 6th in special teams (Cinci – 74th), +22 in tackles for loss compared to -12, and +14 in sacks compared to -10 for the Bearcats. This could be another blow out for the Hawaii Bowl.

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