I think this is a relatively low total considering this is going to be the most balanced offense Auburn has faced all year and will do so without their defensive coordinator. Memphis, has the best QB Auburn has faced all year as there are a lot of slow paced run first oriented offenses in the SEC. Memphis has Paxton Lynch who put up 37 points against a much more dominating defense in Ole Miss. Memphis also likes to go quick, and we have seen Auburn struggle with those type of offenses even giving up 35 points to Idaho who rank 18th in pace (Memphis 13th). I initially leaned towards Memphis in this game, but I just can’t jump on board with the significant coaching change, and interim head coach Darnell Dickey is 1-3 in his career in bowl games. What I can get on board with is the over.

I think Memphis is going to score, and I think Auburn’s offense will be able to move the ball quite well in this game. Memphis defense gave up 45 points to Navy, and Auburn has an unusual running game that could give Memphis some issues. When you look at Auburn under Gus Malzahn the offense has typically over produced when they are given extra time to be creative. I really liked what I saw from this offense down the stretch, and I think they can beat Memphis with the run and the pass game. The last two bowl games Auburn scored on average 15 points more than their opponent gave up in the regular season. Memphis gave up 27 this year per game, and I could see Auburn getting into the 30’s in this contest.

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