I like Southern Miss in this spot despite losing their head coach and QB. They have a talented group of RB led by Desmond JOhnson and they run behind an experienced offensive line with 4 starters returning and that's where they can score enough points to cover this large spread vs. Nebraska that was dead last in their conference in tackles for loss and rarely got in the backfield for sacks. They will be better, but not right away and opening up the season against an experienced and talented group won't help them any. The strengths and weaknesses are in the right places for this game.

Don't get me wrong Nebraska will have success running against Southern MIss 4-2-5 scheme, but not as much as people think. Martinez lacks a passing ability and the offensive line has 3 new starters. The Offensive line is nothing special as far as big time recruits and they won't come together right away. Expect the usual offensive penalties and turnovers that plagued them in years past. Southern Miss has a few ball hawking players and I expect them to get edge pressure from Jamie Collins and play good defense in the red zone and limit the big plays. Bottom line there are not enough minutes for them to cover this spread with both teams taking on the run first approach.

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