Okay let's not sugar coat anything here both Arkansas and Auburn have been a major disappointment so far and Auburn comes off a bye, but there is no way they should be favored by more than a TD as they haven't been able to do anything on offense ranked 117th in total offense. Even if they are facing the Razorbacks who are 120th in total defense. Their QB Kiehl Frazier is completing just 52% of his passes with 2 TD and 7 interceptions. Arkansas has actually been decent stopping the run so how is Auburn going to be able to move the ball? Most of Arkansas troubles have been related to turnovers.
Speaking of which Auburn is -2/game in turnover margin so they are right there with Arkansas. Despite losing big to Texas A&M, Arkansas had a lot of positives to take away. Like they did not allow a sack to a team that was one of the best in the game with 5 sacks per game. Arkansas passing game continues to be really good as they are ranked 20th in yardage while RB Knile Davis showed a little life last game. I think this will be the first game they can have a little balance with Auburns run defense being just awful ranked 104th in yards allowed and 92nd in yards per carry allowed.
For the first time all season Arkansas defense should be able to help them win. This unit was supposed to be the strength this year, but they have been disappointing, but a bright note is that they are limiting opponents to 37.7% conversions on third downs and Auburn has been awful converting on third down with no sort of threat. Look for Arkansas to win that battle in a close game. Auburn is dead last in the SEC in run defense and points scored and those two are very bad combinations that will hurt them Saturday.
