Don't miss out on my early bird special game between the Jaguars and the Lions backed by a full in depth analysis and a bonus play.


We are getting an extra field goal because everyone is pounding the Lions. I think again we get great value with the Jaguars in this spot who have started to play much better. They have been terrible at home so that is why we are getting so many points, but they played arguably two teams that could meet in the Super Bowl at home in the Chicago Bears and the Houston Texans. The Lions really lack a defense that can make plays like those two. On the road the Jaguars have been super competitive and that's why I know this team can win this game even. They lost to Green bay but held the Packers to a season low 238 yards, lost to Oakland by 3, won at the Colts, and lost by 3 at the Vikings. The Lions three wins have been by a combined 11 points, so they are not blowing teams out like they did a year ago that much is for sure.

The Lions also bring a similar one dimensional pass first type offense that lacks a running game, much like the Packers who the Jaguars should have possibly even beat last week on the road. Blaine Gabbert continues to improve and even without Jones-Drew the Jaguars have found new players to make plays and to me that's a good thing when MJD comes back, but for now we are seeing the emergence of Cecil Shorts, but the Jaguars will want to attack the Lions on the ground. The Lions are 22nd vs. the run and that's not a good recipe as a road favorite. Detroit is also being penalized 9.8x per road game and have turnover issues. The Jaguars are more sound when it comes to shooting themselves in the foot as they are the 7th least penalized team. I see the Jaguars finally coming up with a big win.

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