Michigan State is off the bye week and Northwestern was banged up a bit after last week thus the greater than a TD spread, but Michigan State's offense won't be cured over night and I think Northwestern matches up very well against them. Michigan State has scored more than 16 points just 2 times in the last 6 games while Northwestern has scored 21+ in all of their games this year and they have a 70 game run of scoring in double digits. So how is Michigan State going to win by more than a TD against a team that is fundamentally sound in all aspects especially special teams where they could have some advantages as Michigan State has allowed 25 yards per return and 10 yards on punt returns.

I just don't think Andrew Maxwell can take advantage of Northwestern's suspect secondary and their run defense is playing well enough to hold Le'Veon Bell in check as they are ranked 25th in run defense this year and are 29th allowing 3.7 ypc. The difference has come up front as the defensive line is allowing their LB's to make plays. Michigan State has been unable to scored TD's in the red zone only 50% in conference play to Northwestern's 72% in conference play. Expect Northwestern to continue to stay in ball games as they have a lot to play for.

Where to find Freddy?