I know this is not an exciting match up, but Wyoming was in a big game against Nebraska a week ago in the 34-31 loss and I guarantee the spread would not have been 28 points if Idaho did not turn around and lose big to North Texas in a blow out. I think we get value here with 4 TD spread. Idaho is stronger where it matters than we saw last week with depth along the defensive line that could get to QB Brett Smith. Well they have to actually and I expect a lot more aggressive play because their secondary lacks a lot of athleticism.

Meanwhile Wyoming struggles against the run and Idaho can run the ball with the read option and at least shorten the game. Chad Chalich understands the offense at QB and he does not make a ton of mistakes which is what you look for with a team catching 28 points as a dog. Also Idaho's offensive line is again stronger than people think based on last week's game and I expect them to come out and play an overall more competitive game with a chance to even pull out the victory.

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