Florida came off possibly the worst week any team could have and come into this game banged up. First of all they lost their heart and soul of the defense in Dominique EAsley in practice who is out of the year with a torn ACL and on offense they lost Jake Driskell to a broken leg in the first quarter a week ago. Tyler Murphy was great in relief, but coming in without the pressure because you never thought you would play is different than preparing and then going on the road. There is a reason why Murphy was passed over at Florida many times to play QB and I don't see him being able to take advantage of Kentucky's main weakness which is their secondary. Other than that Kentucky held their own and really should have had a chance to beat Louisville at home. Now they have had 2 weeks off to prepare for this game in what should be a low scoring battle.

Florida is #1 in time of possession but they are not getting points out of that which makes the 12 point spread even juicier. I will most certainly be teasing it with another play if I can find value. Florida is only 7-17 on TD's in the red zone for a 41% success rate meanwhile Kentucky has been great in 3rd down defense allowing opponents to convert just 23% of the time and they shut down Louisville's offense in the red zone allowing just 2-5 which means Florida will most likely spend their time kicking field goals when they get there. Losing Easley on defense is a huge loss and Kentucky runs an up tempo which should catch Florida off guard. I wouldn't be shocked to see Kentucky have Florida on the ropes with a chance to win this game late. Their freshmen RB is getting a lot of hype averaging 9.3 ypc is Jo Jo Kemp and Kentucky's MLB Avery Williamson is leading the SEC in tackles. Florida forced 6 turnovers to get passed Tennesse, but Kentucky will take better care of the ball.

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