I love this spot for the Kings because they have an extra day of rest and they get to seek revenge from an earlier loss at home to New Orleans. They lost as a -1 favorite at home and now they are a -1 favorite on the road? New Orleans just played a tough game last night against the Memphis Grizzlies. A game they won as a +7.5 under dog and I think they will suffer a bit of a hang over here going up against the Kings who play better defense.
The Kings are playing very well defensively inside allowing opponents 3% less than their season average of 49.9%. That's important because the Hornets shoot over 80% of their shots from inside while the Kings shoot nearly 77% of their shots from inside. New Orleans is dead last in the league in two point defense making this a favorable match up for the Kings. The Kings have played well of late too winning games at Minnesota as a +9.5 and winning at Houston as a +10. They have covered 5 of their last 7 road games both of which were against two of the best two point defenses in the league in the Thunder and the Pacers.
The Magic are a miserable 1-10 ATS and SU in their last 11 games, but the that only means we are starting to get value. This team is not that bad ranking 11th in two point defense and ranking 6th in the league over their last 3 games in that category so they can stay in games on the road. Brooklyn is off a huge 23 point win last night against their hated rivals the NY Knicks so this spread is definitely inflated because of that. Nets have not performed well on 0 days rest and the Magic should take advantage of that considering they have an extra day where they play their best defense while the Nets veteran bunch play their worst defense on 0 days rest.
